Because it's a sport--I'm wanting everyone's election prediction. Presidential winner/loser, and by how much (i.e., lawyer close; a little; a decent size; a landslide).
posted by Greg | 11:05 PM
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Obama victory. Fairly close popular vote. Larger electoral discrepancy. Not a landslide.
If I were a betting man, I'd go with McCain. Not because I think he's going to win, but because I like betting on underdogs--because the payoff is bigger.
So, yeah, what Scott said I guess. I have no frickin' idea.
See--I'm torn. I'm torn because I refuse to believe the polls. (Because I view the vast majority of the polls to be biased from the onset; their way of trying to "poll" to influence results.)
So if this is the case, then the O needs to be up by 12 to be up by 3. And if he's only up by 3, then that leads me to suspect that he's not up by anything at all.
Now--the pollsters have to try and save their rep, so I expect they'll actually try to make it ballpark w/in 48 hours of the show.
But even if they try to keep it ballpark (but still in favor for their boy)--I'm not even convinced that they're methodology can validly predict reality. (The 2004 election is a prime example.)
I'm just wondering that w/ the internet, and people being harassed by internet stuff--if it's just not our innate nature to try and game the system. Year of birth? 1934. Gender? Female. Race? Native American. Annual Income: >$500,000
McCain got off to a great start, but entirely lost focus. He beat himself.
I'm going w/ McCain getting the popular vote, O getting the delegates.
I'm going w/ McCain getting the popular vote, O getting the delegates.
If Obama must win, I would LOVE it if McCain won the popular vote. Then I could go to all the "yeah but GORE won the POPULAR vote, so..." people and say "WHAT NOW? Still wanna ditch the electoral college? No? Effin' hypocrites..." Grr.
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